Articles by Luke Lischin

Down, but not out: political violence in the Southern Philippines from 2016-2020

Fluctuations in incident and casualty data belie claims the end of Philippines’ insurgencies is near.

Surviving or thriving? COVID-19 and violent non-state actors in the Southern Philippines

Data analysis strongly suggests correlations between COVID-19 and the commission of political violence, but the causal mechanisms driving these trends are less clear.

Four years of people’s war: an assessment of the New People’s Army from 2016-2019

The end of the NPA's insurgency isn't guaranteed despite what officials say.

Campaigning and killing: violence against politicians in the Southern Philippines

Data on killings reconfirm how pervasive electoral violence remains.

The escalating violence of the New People’s Army in Mindanao

Despite Manila's push for peace, the NPA shows no signs of coming to the table.

IS in the Philippines and the Battle of Marawi: a new appraisal

Whatever new form of governance emerges from the Bangsamoro Organic Law, it will still confront security challenges as serious as ever.