This suggests that the most powerful army faction is backing her for the succession. Possibly this faction will win out over the one supporting Vajiralongkorn without open conflict (for example, if they persuade the King to endorse her). If the two factions were equally balanced and looked like coming to blows, she would probably disappoint her backers/masters and take another holiday in China. This could pave the way for an army faction supporting a Shinawatra dynasty, or a banana Republic. Another possibility, if the military implodes in the conflict, or in a cleansing, Bangladesh-style mutiny, would be democracy. Sirindhorn may be moderate and stoic enough to resist the flatterers that have undone her father and brother, and reduced her country to its present sad state. She might even emerge as a genuine constitutional monarch in a democratic Thailand.
Get used to it folks. Just imagine a few years ahead after the royal succession . . . Thailand will probably need to add one special court to deal with lese majeste cases only.
The blacklist, or at least one copy of it, is at the Immigration Office at BKK airport. Robert Amsterdam’s name is on it for certain. If you think your name might be on it, I suggest considering other ways of leaving the country than flying out.
Ah . . . not the pro-Thaksin Andrew Marshall to submit his “major story” about Wikileaks in his possession.
I am a very suspicious person by nature. And rape-accused Julian Assange I must say is not Jesus . . .
So I will make public my suspiciouns: (a) Why this overly delayed length of time that Julian Assange had withheld release of the Wikileaks? and (b) Is it even possible that say Thaksin could offer some small “funding” to the Julian Assange cause in return for his release of Thailand-specific Wikileaks to Thaksin-friendly journalist, like Andrew Marshall?
As usual the caveat ‘Don’t believe everything you read in the Internet ” stands.
Sorry, in doing a little goggling, I found that the origin of the Latin alphabet in Vietnam astoundingly begins in 1527 (Wiki). Therefore my idea of comparing pre-adoption reading rates with post adoption ones, as a ‘natural experiment showing the impact of Romanization on literacy use’, does not after all seem possible there. Romanization has been developing for centuries there, making a pre/post comparison moot.
There is a non-substantiated claim by the Wiki writer that the Latin alphabet ‘facilitated’ the impressive Vietnamese reading rates . But, as stated, this has no more factual value than one of our own blogging speculations that it would help here.
“the adoption of the Vietnamese [Latin based] alphabet also facilitated widespread literacy among Vietnamese speakers–whereas a majority of Vietnamese in Vietnam could not read or write prior to the 20th century, the population is now almost universally literate.”
One student of the transition from the Asiatic writing form to the Western form factually claims that in time, the ability to read the old Asiatic literature was lost, and thereby cultural heritage was lost. Certainly this must be a prime fear among the conservative guardians of language purity here.
“Scholars like Pamela A. Pears who study the effect of French Colonialism on native peoples assert that the French, by imposing Roman alphabet on the Vietnamese, cut the Vietnamese off from their traditional literature, rendering them unable to read it.[2]”
VALUE: What seems to be of possible use value to be gained here, from their hundreds of years of Latin adjustment there, are the technical mechanism adopted in writing. Vietnamese follows a 6 tonal form, yet they have developed “an exact phonemic transcription” ability, etc
You may get an idea if you look for р╕кр╕бр╣Ар╕Фр╣Зр╕Ир╕Юр╕гр╕░р╣Ар╕Чр╕Юр╕гр╕▒р╕Хр╕Щр╕гр╕▓р╕Кр╕кр╕╕р╕Фр╕▓р╕п р╕кр╕вр╕▓р╕бр╕Ър╕гр╕бр╕гр╕▓р╕Кр╕Бр╕╕р╕бр╕▓р╕гр╕╡ with Google Timeline, check the link below:
Don’t worry too much. Those who act without justice will in due course be justly punished. So far we have been given proof that we are all human and by no means divine.
This got me thinking: there are some potentially interesting ways to deploy Google Trends. This one looks kind of relevant. What was happening in mid-2007? I remember.
what is interesting and not mentioned by Nostitz is the picture at the back of the lettered posters which shows the royalty upside down. A pic from the rear would have been revealing and captured this extraordinary behaviour. Are these folk paid to stand there & protest? A total of 18 UDD leaders have been charged with internal security breach in relation to 112 & 116 violations in a speech made 10 April ’11. The list is here:
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Ир╕Хр╕╕р╕Юр╕г р╕Юр╕гр╕лр╕бр╕Юр╕▒р╕Щр╕Шр╕╕р╣М
р╕Щ.р╕Ю.р╣Ар╕лр╕зр╕З р╣Вр╕Хр╕Ир╕┤р╕гр╕▓р╕Бр╕▓р╕г
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Ур╕▒р╕Рр╕зр╕╕р╕Тр╕┤ р╣Гр╕кр╕вр╣Ар╕Бр╕╖р╣Йр╕н
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Бр╣Ир╕нр╣Бр╕Бр╣Йр╕з р╕Юр╕┤р╕Бр╕╕р╕ер╕Чр╕нр╕З
р╕Щр╕▓р╕Зр╕Шр╕┤р╕Фр╕▓ р╕Цр╕▓р╕зр╕гр╣Ар╕ир╕гр╕йр╕Рр╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Бр╕▓р╕гр╕╕р╕У р╣Вр╕лр╕кр╕Бр╕╕р╕е
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕вр╕ир╕зр╕гр╕┤р╕и р╕Кр╕╣р╕Бр╕ер╣Ир╕нр╕б р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╣Ар╕Ир╣Лр╕З р╕Фр╕нр╕Бр╕Ир╕┤р╕Б
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕┤р╕ар╕╣р╣Бр╕Цр╕ер╕З р╕Юр╕▒р╕Тр╕Щр╕ар╕╣р╕бр╕┤р╣Др╕Ч
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕╡р╕гр╕░ р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╕зр╕╡р╕гр╕░р╕Бр╕▓р╕Щр╕Хр╣М р╕бр╕╕р╕кр╕┤р╕Бр╕Юр╕Зр╕ир╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Кр╕┤р╕Щр╕зр╕▒р╕Тр╕Щр╣М р╕лр╕▓р╕Ър╕╕р╕Нр╕Юр╕▓р╕Ф
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕┤р╣Ар╕Кр╕╡р╕вр╕г р╕Вр╕▓р╕зр╕Вр╕│
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕кр╕╕р╕ар╕гр╕Ур╣М р╕нр╕▒р╕Хр╕Цр╕▓р╕зр╕Зр╕ир╣М р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╣Бр╕гр╕бр╣Вр╕Ър╣Йр╕нр╕╡р╕кр╕▓р╕Щ
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Вр╕зр╕▒р╕Нр╕Кр╕▒р╕в р╕кр╕▓р╕гр╕▓р╕Др╕│ р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╣Др╕Юр╕гр╕Юр╕Щр╕▓
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Щр╕┤р╕кр╕┤р╕Х р╕кр╕┤р╕Щр╕Шр╕╕р╣Др╕Юр╕г
р╕И.р╕к.р╕Х.р╕Ыр╕гр╕░р╕кр╕┤р╕Чр╕Шр╕┤р╣М р╣Др╕Кр╕вр╕ир╕гр╕╡р╕йр╕░
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕гр╕зр╕╕р╕Тр╕┤ р╕зр╕┤р╕Кр╕▒р╕вр╕Фр╕┤р╕йр╕Рр╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕Зр╕ер╕▒р╕Фр╕Фр╕▓р╕зр╕▒р╕ер╕вр╣М р╕зр╕Зр╕ир╣Мр╕ир╕гр╕╡р╕зр╕Зр╕ир╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕кр╕бр╕Кр╕▓р╕в р╣Др╕Юр╕Ър╕╣р╕ер╕вр╣М
This was posted on Thai-enews/
Jakrapob has also exposed an official letter sent from the army to various units and govt ministries, DSI, and police to increase pressure to crackdown on 112 offenders (new “blacklist” for people to be “taken out”), both in Thailand and overseas (including foreigners). DSI will lead the witch hunt under military and higher directive and has a lot of work on its hands. The heat is now on
Six 206 subs for Thailand’s Gulf (max depth 80m) is just too much (in term of operational cost and quantity). Indonesia only have two 209/1300 (made 1979). Malaysia only have two Scorpenes (2005).
BUT it will be good opportunity for the Navy so they can train and get experience from an old tech subs.
AND it will become a great deterrent effect for the neighbouring countries. (Did Thailand have border dispute or conflict with other?)
PS: In old-tech subs, you need experience to read and analyze the sonar and know the situation deep under sea. It’s like you walk like a blind-man, only use your other sense and experience to travel around.
[…] second report is at New Mandala by Nick Nostitz, reporting on the arrival of red shirt leaders as a police station to file counter-charges against […]
I am a Cambodian student at Pa├▒├▒asastra University of Cambodia too. This is a really wonderful time for students from over the world to share ideas and experiences to each other about the politics and economics.
I hope I will have a chance to be selected to attend this conference..
“the red shirts ate all the food that the army brought for multi-color ppl yesterday at the police station where Jatuporn went”
If true, it’s a] highly interesting that the army would have brought food for that “separate” demonstration and b] (sorry about this) very funny that the Redshirts got it instead.
Facebook 
Twitter 
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Has anybody else noticed…
This suggests that the most powerful army faction is backing her for the succession. Possibly this faction will win out over the one supporting Vajiralongkorn without open conflict (for example, if they persuade the King to endorse her). If the two factions were equally balanced and looked like coming to blows, she would probably disappoint her backers/masters and take another holiday in China. This could pave the way for an army faction supporting a Shinawatra dynasty, or a banana Republic. Another possibility, if the military implodes in the conflict, or in a cleansing, Bangladesh-style mutiny, would be democracy. Sirindhorn may be moderate and stoic enough to resist the flatterers that have undone her father and brother, and reduced her country to its present sad state. She might even emerge as a genuine constitutional monarch in a democratic Thailand.
Some Australians not impressed with Najib Razak
If only the Malays weighed 30 tonnes and fed on plankton in the souther pacific.
‘God’ help the urang Utans if they all of a sudden decided to convert to Islam!
Keeping up with the times
Get used to it folks. Just imagine a few years ahead after the royal succession . . . Thailand will probably need to add one special court to deal with lese majeste cases only.
Nostitz reports on a Bangkok stand-off
The blacklist, or at least one copy of it, is at the Immigration Office at BKK airport. Robert Amsterdam’s name is on it for certain. If you think your name might be on it, I suggest considering other ways of leaving the country than flying out.
Don’t mention the K word
I can only assume that Abhisit is auditioning for the role of the High Priest in a remake of the ‘Life of Brian’:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYkbqzWVHZI
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
Ah . . . not the pro-Thaksin Andrew Marshall to submit his “major story” about Wikileaks in his possession.
I am a very suspicious person by nature. And rape-accused Julian Assange I must say is not Jesus . . .
So I will make public my suspiciouns: (a) Why this overly delayed length of time that Julian Assange had withheld release of the Wikileaks? and (b) Is it even possible that say Thaksin could offer some small “funding” to the Julian Assange cause in return for his release of Thailand-specific Wikileaks to Thaksin-friendly journalist, like Andrew Marshall?
As usual the caveat ‘Don’t believe everything you read in the Internet ” stands.
Reforming Thai language structure
Vietnamese Latin Based Alphabet/Writing
Sorry, in doing a little goggling, I found that the origin of the Latin alphabet in Vietnam astoundingly begins in 1527 (Wiki). Therefore my idea of comparing pre-adoption reading rates with post adoption ones, as a ‘natural experiment showing the impact of Romanization on literacy use’, does not after all seem possible there. Romanization has been developing for centuries there, making a pre/post comparison moot.
There is a non-substantiated claim by the Wiki writer that the Latin alphabet ‘facilitated’ the impressive Vietnamese reading rates . But, as stated, this has no more factual value than one of our own blogging speculations that it would help here.
“the adoption of the Vietnamese [Latin based] alphabet also facilitated widespread literacy among Vietnamese speakers–whereas a majority of Vietnamese in Vietnam could not read or write prior to the 20th century, the population is now almost universally literate.”
One student of the transition from the Asiatic writing form to the Western form factually claims that in time, the ability to read the old Asiatic literature was lost, and thereby cultural heritage was lost. Certainly this must be a prime fear among the conservative guardians of language purity here.
“Scholars like Pamela A. Pears who study the effect of French Colonialism on native peoples assert that the French, by imposing Roman alphabet on the Vietnamese, cut the Vietnamese off from their traditional literature, rendering them unable to read it.[2]”
VALUE: What seems to be of possible use value to be gained here, from their hundreds of years of Latin adjustment there, are the technical mechanism adopted in writing. Vietnamese follows a 6 tonal form, yet they have developed “an exact phonemic transcription” ability, etc
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vietnamese_alphabet
http://www.omniglot.com/writing/vietnamese.htm
Has anybody else noticed…
Here’s a zoom in:
http://tinyurl.com/3gtjefz
Has anybody else noticed…
Sorry not search patterns, but content patterns 😉
Has anybody else noticed…
You may get an idea if you look for р╕кр╕бр╣Ар╕Фр╣Зр╕Ир╕Юр╕гр╕░р╣Ар╕Чр╕Юр╕гр╕▒р╕Хр╕Щр╕гр╕▓р╕Кр╕кр╕╕р╕Фр╕▓р╕п р╕кр╕вр╕▓р╕бр╕Ър╕гр╕бр╕гр╕▓р╕Кр╕Бр╕╕р╕бр╕▓р╕гр╕╡ with Google Timeline, check the link below:
http://tinyurl.com/42hnzc6
(had to shorten the link because of Thai characters in the url)
Data are reliable starting 2005 (Google wasn’t really archiving search patterns before)
Anyway, strangely we do see a real increase since 2006.
Keeping up with the times
Don’t worry too much. Those who act without justice will in due course be justly punished. So far we have been given proof that we are all human and by no means divine.
Has anybody else noticed…
Thanks Anonymous Thai,
This got me thinking: there are some potentially interesting ways to deploy Google Trends. This one looks kind of relevant. What was happening in mid-2007? I remember.
Best wishes to all,
Nich
Nostitz reports on a Bangkok stand-off
Where is the blacklist including foreigners?
Has anybody else noticed…
I wish Google Trends covered the Thai press… that way, we’d see exactly how much she has been in the press at any date.
Nostitz reports on a Bangkok stand-off
what is interesting and not mentioned by Nostitz is the picture at the back of the lettered posters which shows the royalty upside down. A pic from the rear would have been revealing and captured this extraordinary behaviour. Are these folk paid to stand there & protest? A total of 18 UDD leaders have been charged with internal security breach in relation to 112 & 116 violations in a speech made 10 April ’11. The list is here:
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Ир╕Хр╕╕р╕Юр╕г р╕Юр╕гр╕лр╕бр╕Юр╕▒р╕Щр╕Шр╕╕р╣М
р╕Щ.р╕Ю.р╣Ар╕лр╕зр╕З р╣Вр╕Хр╕Ир╕┤р╕гр╕▓р╕Бр╕▓р╕г
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Ур╕▒р╕Рр╕зр╕╕р╕Тр╕┤ р╣Гр╕кр╕вр╣Ар╕Бр╕╖р╣Йр╕н
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Бр╣Ир╕нр╣Бр╕Бр╣Йр╕з р╕Юр╕┤р╕Бр╕╕р╕ер╕Чр╕нр╕З
р╕Щр╕▓р╕Зр╕Шр╕┤р╕Фр╕▓ р╕Цр╕▓р╕зр╕гр╣Ар╕ир╕гр╕йр╕Рр╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Бр╕▓р╕гр╕╕р╕У р╣Вр╕лр╕кр╕Бр╕╕р╕е
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕вр╕ир╕зр╕гр╕┤р╕и р╕Кр╕╣р╕Бр╕ер╣Ир╕нр╕б р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╣Ар╕Ир╣Лр╕З р╕Фр╕нр╕Бр╕Ир╕┤р╕Б
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕┤р╕ар╕╣р╣Бр╕Цр╕ер╕З р╕Юр╕▒р╕Тр╕Щр╕ар╕╣р╕бр╕┤р╣Др╕Ч
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕╡р╕гр╕░ р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╕зр╕╡р╕гр╕░р╕Бр╕▓р╕Щр╕Хр╣М р╕бр╕╕р╕кр╕┤р╕Бр╕Юр╕Зр╕ир╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Кр╕┤р╕Щр╕зр╕▒р╕Тр╕Щр╣М р╕лр╕▓р╕Ър╕╕р╕Нр╕Юр╕▓р╕Ф
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕┤р╣Ар╕Кр╕╡р╕вр╕г р╕Вр╕▓р╕зр╕Вр╕│
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕кр╕╕р╕ар╕гр╕Ур╣М р╕нр╕▒р╕Хр╕Цр╕▓р╕зр╕Зр╕ир╣М р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╣Бр╕гр╕бр╣Вр╕Ър╣Йр╕нр╕╡р╕кр╕▓р╕Щ
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Вр╕зр╕▒р╕Нр╕Кр╕▒р╕в р╕кр╕▓р╕гр╕▓р╕Др╕│ р╕лр╕гр╕╖р╕нр╣Др╕Юр╕гр╕Юр╕Щр╕▓
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕Щр╕┤р╕кр╕┤р╕Х р╕кр╕┤р╕Щр╕Шр╕╕р╣Др╕Юр╕г
р╕И.р╕к.р╕Х.р╕Ыр╕гр╕░р╕кр╕┤р╕Чр╕Шр╕┤р╣М р╣Др╕Кр╕вр╕ир╕гр╕╡р╕йр╕░
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕зр╕гр╕зр╕╕р╕Тр╕┤ р╕зр╕┤р╕Кр╕▒р╕вр╕Фр╕┤р╕йр╕Рр╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕Зр╕ер╕▒р╕Фр╕Фр╕▓р╕зр╕▒р╕ер╕вр╣М р╕зр╕Зр╕ир╣Мр╕ир╕гр╕╡р╕зр╕Зр╕ир╣М
р╕Щр╕▓р╕вр╕кр╕бр╕Кр╕▓р╕в р╣Др╕Юр╕Ър╕╣р╕ер╕вр╣М
This was posted on Thai-enews/
Jakrapob has also exposed an official letter sent from the army to various units and govt ministries, DSI, and police to increase pressure to crackdown on 112 offenders (new “blacklist” for people to be “taken out”), both in Thailand and overseas (including foreigners). DSI will lead the witch hunt under military and higher directive and has a lot of work on its hands. The heat is now on
On Thailand’s submarine ambitions
Six 206 subs for Thailand’s Gulf (max depth 80m) is just too much (in term of operational cost and quantity). Indonesia only have two 209/1300 (made 1979). Malaysia only have two Scorpenes (2005).
BUT it will be good opportunity for the Navy so they can train and get experience from an old tech subs.
AND it will become a great deterrent effect for the neighbouring countries. (Did Thailand have border dispute or conflict with other?)
PS: In old-tech subs, you need experience to read and analyze the sonar and know the situation deep under sea. It’s like you walk like a blind-man, only use your other sense and experience to travel around.
Nostitz reports on a Bangkok stand-off
[…] second report is at New Mandala by Nick Nostitz, reporting on the arrival of red shirt leaders as a police station to file counter-charges against […]
Student scholarships for ANU Asia Pacific Week
I am a Cambodian student at Pa├▒├▒asastra University of Cambodia too. This is a really wonderful time for students from over the world to share ideas and experiences to each other about the politics and economics.
I hope I will have a chance to be selected to attend this conference..
Nostitz reports on a Bangkok stand-off
Nick – great report as usual.
I saw the following claimed on Twitter (@tri26):
“the red shirts ate all the food that the army brought for multi-color ppl yesterday at the police station where Jatuporn went”
If true, it’s a] highly interesting that the army would have brought food for that “separate” demonstration and b] (sorry about this) very funny that the Redshirts got it instead.
Any idea if there’s anything to this?
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
I can confirm the comment by SteveCM above. I am working on a major story. It will be published in May at the latest.