jangan anda mendeclare bahwa orang2 yang tidak sesuai dengan pikiran anda tidak mengerti statistik… ini se indonesia bung, banyak yang lebih pintar dari anda ttg statistik…mari tunggu hasil perhitungan data real, jangan takut dengan kebenaran data real, kalau ada yang meragukan, bisa diprotes berdasarkan form C1….
Saya sangat percaya dengan hasil quick count dengan metode statistik yang benar tentunya. ada 12 lembaga survey jadi saya coba merata2 hasil seluruh lembaga survey tersebut hasilnya adalah Jokowi : 51,4% dan Prabowo : 48,58 % jadi selisihnya adalah 2,82 %. Jadi bagaimanapun Prabowo Butuh 2,82 Persen untuk membalikkan suara tersebut.
tidak semua lembaga survey yg hasilnya Jokowi menang adalah pendukung Jokowi atau surveynya atas kontrak dari tim Jokowi…Penulis harus hati2…contohnya, Kompas dan RRI itu saya kira netral….
Saya gak terpengaruh siapapun presidennya. Tapi lama-lama saya perhatikan dan saya simpulkan, jauh lebih banyak hal2 buruk dituduhkan kepada Prabowo, yg tentunya dilakukan oleh pendukung Jokowi, dan sebaliknya tidak banyak pendukung Prabowo posting komen2 buruk ttg Jokowi, yg mereka lakukan hanya sekedar menjaga nama Prabowo, tidak berusaha menyerang balik. Padahal faktanya, pemilih mereka hampir berimbang. Jadi saya berkesimpulan bahwa..
Selamat menjalankan ibadah puasa..
bener banget, kalaupun para tokoh koalisi di belakang kedua capres sama-sama banyak yang nggak bersih, kita cuma perlu melihat mana yang dari awal secara transparan menyatakan bahwa koalisinya tanpa syarat dan mana yang dari awal telah berani menyatakan akan bagi2 kursi mentri. JKW dari awal telah menyatakan bahwa koalisi yang dilakukan tanpa syarat bahkan dengan pernyataan seperti itu beliau harus rela kehilangan dukungan dari golkar
I agree, I love Indonesia and want the best for them. I saw a recent BBC interview of Prabowo and he seems like a very angry emotional man. Not right to lead millions of good people.
Thanks for the reply. That helps to clear things up. I asked someone else about this, and he said it that when Prabowo mentioned those 16 companies (most recently, in his BBC interview), he meant they had provided surveys, not quick counts. So maybe it’s just that the four mentioned in the article are the only ones that did quick counts showing Prabowo ahead, while the others only did surveys before the election?
jokowi lugu tapi ngluguni,,,apa yang akan terjual lagi bila jokowi jd presiden..ibunya saja jd presiden sebentar pulau dan kekayaan indonesia di jual..
Prabowo’s equally hated by fellow Indonesians due to his inconsistencies, complete lack of integrity, opportunistically pragmatic, and lack of transparency. Foreigners have nothing to do with my conviction (and probably, the rest of Indonesians that didn’t vote for him).
The one who’s been stealing our natural resources are foreign corporates, not journalists and academics. Unless you’re really ignorant, you must’ve known that Prabowo had been helping them doing exactly that, even at the cost of killing our own brothers (especially in Papua). Congratulations, you have just become the victims of fallacious rhetoric created by Prabowo’s campaign.
“…The reason we can be sure of this despite the absence of an official announcement by the Election Commission (KPU) is the availability of quick counts carried out by Indonesia’s credible survey institutions…” which actually also Joko-JK campaign consultant. He just forgot to mention it in his writing.
Megawati is so afraid that Prabowo will win this presidential election that she declared that she won. Few days ago, JK’s health dropped and he was brought to Singapore to do a health check up. If it is just the presidential election and his health dropped, how could he be the vice president of Indonesia that has lots of problem?
Sdr.Bayu, mohon maaf saya awam tentang konstitusi kita. Memangnya konstitusi kita yang SEKARANG BERLAKU namanya adalah “UUD…..” yang ditetapkan pada tanggal “……..”? (tolong titik-titiknya diisi). Terima kasih.
This effort to cover the Indonesian elections is really impressive and without any doubt it represents an important source of knowledge to understand the Indonesian political life. But, if I can advance a critic, my impression is that this work was done not really following an academic approach. What I see here is the attempt to steer reader perception and to implant prejudices. The idea that Prabowo is anti-democratic, a would-be autocrat, someone who will try to steal votes, is not the result on an analysis but an idea to be emphasized at any cost: with allusions, with pictures of dark symbols, with rhetoric questions … even with psychoanalytic insights. This method distances from a real understanding of the events and it has only the effect to delegitimize one presidential candidate and not to recognize two political visions in Indonesia. For example after the Prabowo speech about the local elections, the reaction of the blog was an article with the magniloquent title “vote for me, but just the once”. The speech was important because it showed a possible link of Prabowo with the architects of the Reformasi period (the reform is under evaluation also by personalities who are equidistant from both candidates), but the blog ignored it continuing to emphasize the main idea. In general I’ve also the impression that the intention is to influence the political life in Indonesia, even instigating resistance on one political side, although only indirectly. See for example this sentence: “The scale of the manipulation required means it will be relatively easy to detect, and it will invite massive resistance from Jokowi’s supporters”. Not all the articles are following this direction. For example the article “The missing ‘green’ questions in Indonesia presidential election” is really praiseworthy, a real work of objective analysis. But in general my impression is that the articles are too much ideologically oriented. And this sounds like a paradox to me, considering the academic background of the blog.
The university should be a place of critic thought, but as method, as exercise, not as mean of promoting an ideological campaign.
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Taktik Permainan Prabowo
jangan anda mendeclare bahwa orang2 yang tidak sesuai dengan pikiran anda tidak mengerti statistik… ini se indonesia bung, banyak yang lebih pintar dari anda ttg statistik…mari tunggu hasil perhitungan data real, jangan takut dengan kebenaran data real, kalau ada yang meragukan, bisa diprotes berdasarkan form C1….
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
Saya sangat percaya dengan hasil quick count dengan metode statistik yang benar tentunya. ada 12 lembaga survey jadi saya coba merata2 hasil seluruh lembaga survey tersebut hasilnya adalah Jokowi : 51,4% dan Prabowo : 48,58 % jadi selisihnya adalah 2,82 %. Jadi bagaimanapun Prabowo Butuh 2,82 Persen untuk membalikkan suara tersebut.
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
mereka itu kebanyakan kelas menengah loh… kenapa bisa begitu ya? berpendidikan kok…
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
tidak semua lembaga survey yg hasilnya Jokowi menang adalah pendukung Jokowi atau surveynya atas kontrak dari tim Jokowi…Penulis harus hati2…contohnya, Kompas dan RRI itu saya kira netral….
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
Saya gak terpengaruh siapapun presidennya. Tapi lama-lama saya perhatikan dan saya simpulkan, jauh lebih banyak hal2 buruk dituduhkan kepada Prabowo, yg tentunya dilakukan oleh pendukung Jokowi, dan sebaliknya tidak banyak pendukung Prabowo posting komen2 buruk ttg Jokowi, yg mereka lakukan hanya sekedar menjaga nama Prabowo, tidak berusaha menyerang balik. Padahal faktanya, pemilih mereka hampir berimbang. Jadi saya berkesimpulan bahwa..
Selamat menjalankan ibadah puasa..
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
bener banget, kalaupun para tokoh koalisi di belakang kedua capres sama-sama banyak yang nggak bersih, kita cuma perlu melihat mana yang dari awal secara transparan menyatakan bahwa koalisinya tanpa syarat dan mana yang dari awal telah berani menyatakan akan bagi2 kursi mentri. JKW dari awal telah menyatakan bahwa koalisi yang dilakukan tanpa syarat bahkan dengan pernyataan seperti itu beliau harus rela kehilangan dukungan dari golkar
Prabowo’s game plan
I agree, I love Indonesia and want the best for them. I saw a recent BBC interview of Prabowo and he seems like a very angry emotional man. Not right to lead millions of good people.
How to read a quick count
Thanks for the reply. That helps to clear things up. I asked someone else about this, and he said it that when Prabowo mentioned those 16 companies (most recently, in his BBC interview), he meant they had provided surveys, not quick counts. So maybe it’s just that the four mentioned in the article are the only ones that did quick counts showing Prabowo ahead, while the others only did surveys before the election?
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
jokowi lugu tapi ngluguni,,,apa yang akan terjual lagi bila jokowi jd presiden..ibunya saja jd presiden sebentar pulau dan kekayaan indonesia di jual..
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
tulisan yang menarik… semoga demokrasi indonesia tidak dinodai dengan tindakan kecurangan yang berakibat fatal bagi pesta demokrasi saat ini.
Jangan tertipu – Prabowo (masih) ingin menghapus pemilihan presiden secara langsung
Paranoid much ? It must be the US or is it
the “Zionist” cartel out to do Indonesia in ?
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
Sudah pada buta semua kalo jagoaanya kalah saling menghujat tidak bisa legowo…ohh Indonesaku
Prabowo’s game plan
Prabowo’s equally hated by fellow Indonesians due to his inconsistencies, complete lack of integrity, opportunistically pragmatic, and lack of transparency. Foreigners have nothing to do with my conviction (and probably, the rest of Indonesians that didn’t vote for him).
The one who’s been stealing our natural resources are foreign corporates, not journalists and academics. Unless you’re really ignorant, you must’ve known that Prabowo had been helping them doing exactly that, even at the cost of killing our own brothers (especially in Papua). Congratulations, you have just become the victims of fallacious rhetoric created by Prabowo’s campaign.
Prabowo’s game plan
“…The reason we can be sure of this despite the absence of an official announcement by the Election Commission (KPU) is the availability of quick counts carried out by Indonesia’s credible survey institutions…” which actually also Joko-JK campaign consultant. He just forgot to mention it in his writing.
Prabowo’s game plan
Megawati is so afraid that Prabowo will win this presidential election that she declared that she won. Few days ago, JK’s health dropped and he was brought to Singapore to do a health check up. If it is just the presidential election and his health dropped, how could he be the vice president of Indonesia that has lots of problem?
Prabowo’s game plan
Budianto Kuncoro, again we see aggressive and threatening responses from Prabowo supporters.
Demokrasi Indonesia Dalam Bahaya
Sdr.Bayu, mohon maaf saya awam tentang konstitusi kita. Memangnya konstitusi kita yang SEKARANG BERLAKU namanya adalah “UUD…..” yang ditetapkan pada tanggal “……..”? (tolong titik-titiknya diisi). Terima kasih.
Taktik Permainan Prabowo
Kalo boleh milih. Saya pilih:
Presiden: Prabowo | Wakil: Jokowi
ataupun sebaliknya
Presiden: Jokowi | Wakil: Prabowo
Manusia tidak luput dari kesalahan, hanya Allah SWT yg tau kebenarannya.
Prabowo’s game plan
Typical response of Prabowo supporter – aggressive and disrespectful.
Bring on the ballot
This effort to cover the Indonesian elections is really impressive and without any doubt it represents an important source of knowledge to understand the Indonesian political life. But, if I can advance a critic, my impression is that this work was done not really following an academic approach. What I see here is the attempt to steer reader perception and to implant prejudices. The idea that Prabowo is anti-democratic, a would-be autocrat, someone who will try to steal votes, is not the result on an analysis but an idea to be emphasized at any cost: with allusions, with pictures of dark symbols, with rhetoric questions … even with psychoanalytic insights. This method distances from a real understanding of the events and it has only the effect to delegitimize one presidential candidate and not to recognize two political visions in Indonesia. For example after the Prabowo speech about the local elections, the reaction of the blog was an article with the magniloquent title “vote for me, but just the once”. The speech was important because it showed a possible link of Prabowo with the architects of the Reformasi period (the reform is under evaluation also by personalities who are equidistant from both candidates), but the blog ignored it continuing to emphasize the main idea. In general I’ve also the impression that the intention is to influence the political life in Indonesia, even instigating resistance on one political side, although only indirectly. See for example this sentence: “The scale of the manipulation required means it will be relatively easy to detect, and it will invite massive resistance from Jokowi’s supporters”. Not all the articles are following this direction. For example the article “The missing ‘green’ questions in Indonesia presidential election” is really praiseworthy, a real work of objective analysis. But in general my impression is that the articles are too much ideologically oriented. And this sounds like a paradox to me, considering the academic background of the blog.
The university should be a place of critic thought, but as method, as exercise, not as mean of promoting an ideological campaign.