@Nicholas Farrelly….”challenge my intuition”….”I am learning a lot” ..I am pretty sure you are “learning a lot” otherwise the youtube vdo I saw of you recently interviewing Benjamin Zawacki,It would have included the question of how Amnesty squares its gushing praise of King Bhumibol’s human rights “contribution” when all the evidence points in totally the opposite direction.
Once it is published I will also put as many other cables as I can in the public domain too.
Andrew, thank you for a clearer answer. It wasn’t so hard so a shame it took so much questioning to get there. Is it possible that you are acting rather over-defensively. It was a simple question question in the beginning needing just a simple answer. It may even had helped the paranoid conspiracy theorists amongst us.
SteveCM – 42
I also know that you’ve frequently not answered when called on your insinuations.
I thought that I actually had the opposite problem, that I over-answered questions and took up too much space on threads. At least that was impression I had from the moderators. If you feel I haven’t answered you properly please state what questions you would like me to answer.
Actually innuendo is good even when none was intended. It makes the already suspicious more suspicious, and the doubting even more doubtful. Straight in the face facts are more often ignored anyway by “innuendee” so hail to the “innuendoer”!
Excellent. That’s exactly what I was hoping for.But could you be explicit, please? A few key authors, for example (not the obvious ones like р╕Кр╕▓р╕Хр╕┤ р╕Бр╕нр╕Ър╕Ир╕┤р╕Хр╕Хр╕┤ of course).
That will be really appreciated, and might get my reading back on track, which is what I’m aiming for.
For a list of troop numbers of various armed opposition groups (Wa, KIO etc.) you may find this chart helpful. But it was compiled in 2010, so it might be a bit out of date.
I wasn’t aware I had been reluctant to release details. I thought I had been crystal clear above. Just to repeat once more for the paranoid conspiracy theorists among us:
I have access to 3,800 Bangkok embassy cables and a few hundred from the consulate in Chiang Mai.
I am working on a major, very lengthy story detailing what I believe to be the key insights contained in the cables. It will have links to hundreds of original cables embedded within it.
As you may be able to imagine, this is a major undertaking. I simply do not know when I will finish it, and how many cables the final story will cover. My best guess right now is early May and several hundred.
Once it is published I will also put as many other cables as I can in the public domain too.
I have never met Julian Assange and I have nothing to do with the Wikileaks organisation. As is now widely known, due to organisational rifts they lost control of the material and the WikiLeaks got leaked to various others. Including me.
And now, if you don’t mind, I would quite like to get back to writing the %$┬г&^&* thing. Signing off for a while.
I don’t know the current strengths but the Wa definitely have a larger army. The KIO is also more vulnerable since they have lost the economic clout they once had since they no longer control the Hpakant jade mines.
The Kachins, while perhaps militarily weaker than the Wa, are probably a more serious political threat. Under Maran Brang Seng, the head of the KIO in the 1980s and early 1990s the KIO gave up demands for an independent state and instead fought for a federal union. In addition, they are not tainted with drug trafficking to the same extent the UWSA is. Historically, they’ve also had pretty good relations with the Chinese. I suspect the regime fears their political legitimacy more than the Wa, but I don’t know that for sure.
As someone who doesn’t follow the ethnic conflict as closely as I probably should, I was wondering if anyone could give some idea of the strength of the KIA relative to the UWSA. I’m assuming the KIA is more vulnerable, but if so what are the reasons for that? Is it just manpower or are there other factors?
And what would the rationale be behind designating the KIA the main domestic enemy (assuming – big assumption I know – that the Kachin News Group report is correct)?
The more the LML used against the red shirts- the impacts will be the bad name for the military and monarchy
The b ad name for military- these voups, their mind are ruled b y bullet.
they never had any good name, i doubt they aim to keep good name anyway.hahahah
are they really serious to protect the monarchy?
hmm. i doubt so.
they are now aiming to destroy it as the crown prince is not competent to be the successors if the king pass away
so the military wish ti destroy monarxhy, it is why they keep doing thing-use LLM to attack the red shorst and want whole wolrd know that the LLM and monarchy is bad.
sometime hoping the red shirts and the crowd overthrew the monarchy system.
so, they can use their guns again.
these coup brains is only thinking about bullet and violent!
Finally, LesAbbey, thrilled as I am to hear your fascinating reflections about how I should handle this story…
Andrew, I have no expectations on having any effects on your story which is of course yours to do with as you wish. We all have our own ethical standards so whatever you do is obviously based on yours.
All I have been trying to do in last few comments is pin you down over the release of the Wikileaks cables. Why are you so reluctant to state the number and timing of the eventual release of these? A person could begin grow to be quite suspicious on your reluctance.
I am a professional Thai-to-English translator (NAATI No. 70040) processing around a million words a year.
Reading Thai in its current form is easy. Just think of it as a succession of circular syllables, arranged in sequence from left to right, with each syllable centred on the initial consonant. All you have to do is identify the initial consonant of each syllable and the rest just falls into place. Short gaps separate phrases, longer gaps separate sentences. No need for English-style punctuation or word separation.
An excellent introduction to the very wide range of reading material available is given in Thai Cultural Reader Books One and Two and An Intoduction to Thai Literature, published by Cornell back in the 1960s and 70s and yet to be equalled for someone who wants to learn sufficient Thai to undertake research from primary documents.
Finally, LesAbbey, thrilled as I am to hear your fascinating reflections about how I should handle this story, I have been a foreign correspondent for 16 years and I think I can manage to figure it out by myself. Thanks anyway.
The timing of my story is not linked to the election or any other event.
Thanks again for the information Andrew. Of course anything political published will have some sort of effect on the election if it’s published before the election. The amount could be tiny or great. That was why I was trying to pin you down on how many of the cables you will publish in this period leading up to the election.
I do not consider you particularly biased or pro-Thaksin although I think in your article about questions to be answered over the 2010 red shirt Bangkok protest, you could have aimed some of them at the Thaksin/UDD side. I hope you can see where there might be some worries on my part if only a very selected few cables were released before the election.
I’ve already submitted my application for this and I’m really hopeful that I can make the cut.
But the Facebook event page also mentions that there will also be a second annual East Asia Forum Emerging Scholars Conference as well? Is there anyway to get more information on that? I was aware of it last year, but unable to submit a writing sample – due to another commitment. Any input would be most appreciated – especially with contact information!
The timing of my story is not linked to the election or any other event. The story will be published as soon as I have written it, had it checked by lawyers and others, and given those in the story a chance to comment. As mentioned above, that is likely to be early May.
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Has anybody else noticed…
@Nicholas Farrelly….”challenge my intuition”….”I am learning a lot” ..I am pretty sure you are “learning a lot” otherwise the youtube vdo I saw of you recently interviewing Benjamin Zawacki,It would have included the question of how Amnesty squares its gushing praise of King Bhumibol’s human rights “contribution” when all the evidence points in totally the opposite direction.
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
Andrew Marshall – 41
Once it is published I will also put as many other cables as I can in the public domain too.
Andrew, thank you for a clearer answer. It wasn’t so hard so a shame it took so much questioning to get there. Is it possible that you are acting rather over-defensively. It was a simple question question in the beginning needing just a simple answer. It may even had helped the paranoid conspiracy theorists amongst us.
SteveCM – 42
I also know that you’ve frequently not answered when called on your insinuations.
I thought that I actually had the opposite problem, that I over-answered questions and took up too much space on threads. At least that was impression I had from the moderators. If you feel I haven’t answered you properly please state what questions you would like me to answer.
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
Actually innuendo is good even when none was intended. It makes the already suspicious more suspicious, and the doubting even more doubtful. Straight in the face facts are more often ignored anyway by “innuendee” so hail to the “innuendoer”!
Reforming Thai language structure
# 39
Excellent. That’s exactly what I was hoping for.But could you be explicit, please? A few key authors, for example (not the obvious ones like р╕Кр╕▓р╕Хр╕┤ р╕Бр╕нр╕Ър╕Ир╕┤р╕Хр╕Хр╕┤ of course).
That will be really appreciated, and might get my reading back on track, which is what I’m aiming for.
New war in Kachin State?
For a list of troop numbers of various armed opposition groups (Wa, KIO etc.) you may find this chart helpful. But it was compiled in 2010, so it might be a bit out of date.
Pavin on lese majeste
c11
Don’t worry just yet, Yuri – I suspect it was only the boys in green rehearsing.
“No, sergeant – I said just pretend to pull the plug out, dammit!”
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
c35
“Steve, you seem to be able to find insults and arguments in very little.”
No – I just know innuendo when I see it. I also know that you’ve frequently not answered when called on your insinuations.
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
I wasn’t aware I had been reluctant to release details. I thought I had been crystal clear above. Just to repeat once more for the paranoid conspiracy theorists among us:
I have access to 3,800 Bangkok embassy cables and a few hundred from the consulate in Chiang Mai.
I am working on a major, very lengthy story detailing what I believe to be the key insights contained in the cables. It will have links to hundreds of original cables embedded within it.
As you may be able to imagine, this is a major undertaking. I simply do not know when I will finish it, and how many cables the final story will cover. My best guess right now is early May and several hundred.
Once it is published I will also put as many other cables as I can in the public domain too.
I have never met Julian Assange and I have nothing to do with the Wikileaks organisation. As is now widely known, due to organisational rifts they lost control of the material and the WikiLeaks got leaked to various others. Including me.
And now, if you don’t mind, I would quite like to get back to writing the %$┬г&^&* thing. Signing off for a while.
New war in Kachin State?
I don’t know the current strengths but the Wa definitely have a larger army. The KIO is also more vulnerable since they have lost the economic clout they once had since they no longer control the Hpakant jade mines.
The Kachins, while perhaps militarily weaker than the Wa, are probably a more serious political threat. Under Maran Brang Seng, the head of the KIO in the 1980s and early 1990s the KIO gave up demands for an independent state and instead fought for a federal union. In addition, they are not tainted with drug trafficking to the same extent the UWSA is. Historically, they’ve also had pretty good relations with the Chinese. I suspect the regime fears their political legitimacy more than the Wa, but I don’t know that for sure.
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
“Any of the other Andrews want to join me?”
Count me in.
New war in Kachin State?
As someone who doesn’t follow the ethnic conflict as closely as I probably should, I was wondering if anyone could give some idea of the strength of the KIA relative to the UWSA. I’m assuming the KIA is more vulnerable, but if so what are the reasons for that? Is it just manpower or are there other factors?
And what would the rationale be behind designating the KIA the main domestic enemy (assuming – big assumption I know – that the Kachin News Group report is correct)?
Seditious tales in Thailand
http://www.facebook.com/Hi.s.Tales
Pavin on lese majeste
The more the LML used against the red shirts- the impacts will be the bad name for the military and monarchy
The b ad name for military- these voups, their mind are ruled b y bullet.
they never had any good name, i doubt they aim to keep good name anyway.hahahah
are they really serious to protect the monarchy?
hmm. i doubt so.
they are now aiming to destroy it as the crown prince is not competent to be the successors if the king pass away
so the military wish ti destroy monarxhy, it is why they keep doing thing-use LLM to attack the red shorst and want whole wolrd know that the LLM and monarchy is bad.
sometime hoping the red shirts and the crowd overthrew the monarchy system.
so, they can use their guns again.
these coup brains is only thinking about bullet and violent!
TK
Pavin on lese majeste
Breaking News:
All Thai TV channels disappeared as of about 17:30 local time (10:30 GMT) today the 21st of April. Get ready for another Coup, folks.
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
Andrew Marshall – 38
Finally, LesAbbey, thrilled as I am to hear your fascinating reflections about how I should handle this story…
Andrew, I have no expectations on having any effects on your story which is of course yours to do with as you wish. We all have our own ethical standards so whatever you do is obviously based on yours.
All I have been trying to do in last few comments is pin you down over the release of the Wikileaks cables. Why are you so reluctant to state the number and timing of the eventual release of these? A person could begin grow to be quite suspicious on your reluctance.
Reforming Thai language structure
I am a professional Thai-to-English translator (NAATI No. 70040) processing around a million words a year.
Reading Thai in its current form is easy. Just think of it as a succession of circular syllables, arranged in sequence from left to right, with each syllable centred on the initial consonant. All you have to do is identify the initial consonant of each syllable and the rest just falls into place. Short gaps separate phrases, longer gaps separate sentences. No need for English-style punctuation or word separation.
An excellent introduction to the very wide range of reading material available is given in Thai Cultural Reader Books One and Two and An Intoduction to Thai Literature, published by Cornell back in the 1960s and 70s and yet to be equalled for someone who wants to learn sufficient Thai to undertake research from primary documents.
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
Finally, LesAbbey, thrilled as I am to hear your fascinating reflections about how I should handle this story, I have been a foreign correspondent for 16 years and I think I can manage to figure it out by myself. Thanks anyway.
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
Andrew Marshall – 36
The timing of my story is not linked to the election or any other event.
Thanks again for the information Andrew. Of course anything political published will have some sort of effect on the election if it’s published before the election. The amount could be tiny or great. That was why I was trying to pin you down on how many of the cables you will publish in this period leading up to the election.
I do not consider you particularly biased or pro-Thaksin although I think in your article about questions to be answered over the 2010 red shirt Bangkok protest, you could have aimed some of them at the Thaksin/UDD side. I hope you can see where there might be some worries on my part if only a very selected few cables were released before the election.
Student scholarships for ANU Asia Pacific Week
I’ve already submitted my application for this and I’m really hopeful that I can make the cut.
But the Facebook event page also mentions that there will also be a second annual East Asia Forum Emerging Scholars Conference as well? Is there anyway to get more information on that? I was aware of it last year, but unable to submit a writing sample – due to another commitment. Any input would be most appreciated – especially with contact information!
Thai monarchy and Wikileaks
The timing of my story is not linked to the election or any other event. The story will be published as soon as I have written it, had it checked by lawyers and others, and given those in the story a chance to comment. As mentioned above, that is likely to be early May.