As their travel documents expire Myanmar migrants risk becoming undocumented and excluded from legal protections by shortcomings in both Myanmar and Thai migration policies.
Soft diplomatic approaches may yet allow ASEAN to act not as democratic enforcers but as democratic promoters.
A rash decision near the end of Obama’s tenure led to the complete failure of American foreign policy.
Past US government policies towards Myanmar have been idealistic and flawed by partisan diplomacy.
The current restricted environment for CSOs, especially those advocating on human rights and accountability, is almost certain to continue in post-2020 Myanmar.
In 2020 the role of the Union Election Commission and election monitoring seems increasingly politicised.
Myanmar must face its second competitive election in the context of a global recession and under the shadow of a ruthless pandemic.
Persistent adherence to the written rules makes Mynamar's vulnerable to authoritarian tendencies and threatens a fragile democracy.